Aris Limassol vs Al Sadd
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Aris Limassol. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Aris LimassolGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.132 | A: 0.235Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.10. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 6.61% based on n=186 historical similar picks. The match belongs to World Club Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
The current odds underline the speculative nature of the pick, particularly given the recent form imbalance. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. Aris Limassol is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Aris Limassol – Al Sadd Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | IF Lyseng - Vejgaard B | 3.00 | 3.85% |
| LOSS | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa - MS Ashdod | 3.30 | 4.14% |
| LOSS | Sportowa Czworka Radom (W) - Medyk Konin (W) | 3.00 | 3.85% |
| WIN | Hartlepool - Fleetwood Town | 3.33 | 4.14% |
| WIN | Feyenoord - Atalanta | 3.30 | 4.14% |
| WIN | Athletic Bilbao B - Cultural Leonesa | 3.25 | 4.14% |
| LOSS | Komeetat - JJK/2 | 3.30 | 2.05% |
| WIN | KTS Weszlo - Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki | 3.10 | 2.17% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olaria AC - Nova Iguacu | 1 | 3.20 | 3.85% | 05 Aug 19:45 |
| Boluspor - Manisa BBSK | 1 | 3.30 | 2.05% | 07 Aug 20:30 |
| Dulwich Hill - Macarthur Rams | 1 | 3.25 | 4.14% | 08 Aug 09:00 |
| QPR - Millwall | 1 | 3.00 | 3.85% | 08 Aug 15:00 |
| North Star - Robina City | 1 | 3.10 | 3.85% | 09 Aug 08:00 |