Model: TIPPSA
Atletico Mineiro – Botafogo
PREDICTION
2
@ 3.28
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 10, 2026 11:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 30d 11h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.04% · n=73
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.04% · n=73
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 30d 13h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Atletico Mineiro | Botafogo |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | D-D-W-L-L | D-W-L-W-D |
| Avg goals scored | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Home/Away form | D-L-W-W-W (home) | D-W-W-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.40 scored / 1.60 conceded | 2.50 scored / 1.25 conceded |
| Shots on target | 5.00 for / 5.20 against | 7.00 for / 5.40 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 6.40 for / 4.00 against (home) | 6.50 for / 5.50 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
Despite entering the match at a generous price, Botafogo has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Botafogo is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: 6.9%
7D: -6.1%
15D: -12.7%
30D: 0.3%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.60First seen
Current3.40Now
Max odds3.60Highest point
Min odds3.40Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
Model insight
Atletico Mineiro – Botafogo Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.28. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 3.04% and 3.04%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample28
Win Rate39.3%
Profit+8.62u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Australia (W) - Mexico (W) | 3.44 | 4.77% |
| LOSS | Egypt - Russia | 3.27 | 4.77% |
| LOSS | Rapid Vienna - SV Ried | 3.29 | 4.77% |
| WIN | America MG - Vila Nova | 3.33 | 3.84% |
| LOSS | Slavia Prague - Viktoria Plzen | 3.49 | 4.77% |
| LOSS | Widzew Lodz - Piast Gliwice | 3.28 | 4.77% |
| WIN | Sport Recife - CRB | 3.38 | 3.04% |
| LOSS | Iwaki FC - Matsumoto Y FC | 3.40 | 2.94% |
Pick
2 @ 3.28
Kickoff
Mag 10, 2026 11:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.04% • n=73
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
3.04% • n=73
Start
Started 30d 11h ago
Updated
Updated 30d 13h ago