Austin FC vs FC Dallas
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Austin FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Austin FCGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.110 | A: 0.044Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.00. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.85% based on n=519 historical similar picks. The match belongs to USA MLS (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.
AI Match Insight
The market prices Austin FC as an outsider, but recent form does not suggest a gap wide enough to completely dismiss the selection. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Austin FC has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Austin FC – FC Dallas Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Baltyk Koszalin - Flota Swinoujscie | 3.08 | 3.85% |
| LOSS | Balzan FC - Marsaxlokk FC | 3.00 | 3.85% |
| LOSS | ASD Seravezza Calcio - Pistoiese | 3.00 | 3.85% |
| LOSS | Bulls FC Academy - Northern Tigers | 3.10 | 3.85% |
| LOSS | El Nacional - San Antonio FC Cotacachi | 3.20 | 3.85% |
| WIN | East Bengal Club - Al Arabi SC | 3.00 | 3.85% |
| LOSS | Aldershot - Hartlepool | 3.25 | 4.14% |
| LOSS | Haverfordwest County - Penybont | 3.20 | 3.85% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boroondara Eagles (W) - Bulleen Lions (W) | 1 | 3.10 | 3.85% | 16 Aug 07:00 |
| Hapoel Kiryat Shmona - Hapoel Tel Aviv | 1 | 3.20 | 3.85% | 16 Aug 19:00 |
| Foggia - Team Altamura | 1 | 3.00 | 3.85% | 16 Aug 21:00 |
| FK Novi Pazar - Vojvodina | 1 | 3.00 | 3.85% | 17 Aug 20:00 |