Model: TIPPSA

Barcelona Guayaquil vs SD Aucas

PREDICTION

@ 3.66

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 17, 2026 4:00 AM

ResultLOSS3 - 0

StartStarted 55d 17h ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.02% · n=62

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 55d 19h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is SD Aucas. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: SD Aucas

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

40/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds4.00First seen

Current3.75Now

Max odds4.00Highest point

Min odds3.32Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Barcelona GuayaquilHOME

SD AucasAWAY

WWLWD

Recent form

LWLWD

Avg goals scored

1.80

1.00

Defensive weakness

0.80

1.40

Shots on target for

4.20

5.60

SoT conceded pressure

4.20

3.00

Home splitW-W-D-L-W1.60 scored / 0.80 conceded

Away splitL-L-D-W-W0.80 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.66. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 0.02% based on n=62 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Ecuador LigaPro Serie A (ec). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick2

Odd3.66

V2 BandLOWROI 0.02% · n=62

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. SD Aucas is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: 7.9% 7D: 13.5% 15D: 2.1% 30D: 0.4%

Model insight

Barcelona Guayaquil – SD Aucas Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.66. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.02% across 62 similar predictions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample11

Win Rate18.2%

Profit-4.11u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Heidenheim - Mainz	3.48	0.02%
LOSS	CA Guemes - Quilmes	3.72	0.02%
WIN	KACM Marrakesh - Renaissance Zemamra	3.41	0.02%
LOSS	Becamex HCMC - Thanh Hoa	3.47	0.02%
LOSS	Empoli - Avellino	3.71	0.02%
LOSS	Asteras Tripolis - Panetolikos	3.71	0.02%
LOSS	KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk - Lommel	3.74	0.02%
LOSS	Huracan - Rosario Central	3.64	0.02%

Pick

2 @ 3.66

Kickoff

Mag 17, 2026 4:00 AM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 0.02% • n=62

Start

Started 55d 17h ago

Updated

Updated 55d 19h ago