Model: TIPPSA
Heidenheim – Mainz
PREDICTION
2
@ 3.60
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 16, 2026 5:30 PM
ResultWIN0 - 2
StartStarted 10d 6h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.02% · n=62
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 10d 9h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Heidenheim | Mainz |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-W-D-W-L | W-L-W-L-D |
| Avg goals scored | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Home/Away form | L-W-W (home) | W-W-D-L-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.67 scored / 1.00 conceded | 1.40 scored / 1.40 conceded |
| Shots on target | 4.40 for / 5.80 against | 6.60 for / 5.40 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 4.33 for / 4.67 against (home) | 5.60 for / 4.80 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The current odds imply an underdog profile, although recent performances indicate a more competitive matchup. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Mainz's attacking profile.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.50First seen
Current3.60Now
Max odds3.71Highest point
Min odds3.43Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Heidenheim – Mainz Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.60. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.02% across 62 similar predictions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample12
Win Rate16.7%
Profit-5.11u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Barcelona Guayaquil - SD Aucas | 3.60 | 0.02% |
| LOSS | CA Guemes - Quilmes | 3.72 | 0.02% |
| WIN | KACM Marrakesh - Renaissance Zemamra | 3.41 | 0.02% |
| LOSS | Becamex HCMC - Thanh Hoa | 3.47 | 0.02% |
| LOSS | Empoli - Avellino | 3.71 | 0.02% |
| LOSS | Asteras Tripolis - Panetolikos | 3.71 | 0.02% |
| LOSS | KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk - Lommel | 3.74 | 0.02% |
| LOSS | Huracan - Rosario Central | 3.64 | 0.02% |
Pick
2 @ 3.60
Kickoff
Mag 16, 2026 5:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 0.02% • n=62
Start
Started 10d 6h ago
Updated
Updated 10d 9h ago