Model: TIPPSA

Heidenheim vs Mainz

PREDICTION

@ 3.60

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 16, 2026 5:30 PM

ResultWIN0 - 2

StartStarted 56d 2h ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.02% · n=62

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 56d 4h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Mainz. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Mainz

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

39/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds3.50First seen

Current3.60Now

Max odds3.71Highest point

Min odds3.43Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

HeidenheimHOME

MainzAWAY

LWDWL

Recent form

WLWLD

Avg goals scored

1.80

Defensive weakness

1.60

1.80

Shots on target for

4.40

6.60

SoT conceded pressure

5.80

5.40

Home splitL-W-W1.67 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitW-W-D-L-W1.40 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.60. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 0.02% based on n=62 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Germany Bundesliga I (de). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick2

Odd3.60

V2 BandLOWROI 0.02% · n=62

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Mainz is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: 16.8% 7D: 11.3% 15D: 4.8% 30D: 1.6%

Model insight

Heidenheim – Mainz Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.60. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.02% across 62 similar predictions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample12

Win Rate16.7%

Profit-5.11u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Barcelona Guayaquil - SD Aucas	3.60	0.02%
LOSS	CA Guemes - Quilmes	3.72	0.02%
WIN	KACM Marrakesh - Renaissance Zemamra	3.41	0.02%
LOSS	Becamex HCMC - Thanh Hoa	3.47	0.02%
LOSS	Empoli - Avellino	3.71	0.02%
LOSS	Asteras Tripolis - Panetolikos	3.71	0.02%
LOSS	KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk - Lommel	3.74	0.02%
LOSS	Huracan - Rosario Central	3.64	0.02%

Pick

2 @ 3.60

Kickoff

Mag 16, 2026 5:30 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 0.02% • n=62

Start

Started 56d 2h ago

Updated

Updated 56d 4h ago