Barcelona Guayaquil (W) – LDU Quito (W)

Model: TIPPSA

Barcelona Guayaquil (W) vs LDU Quito (W)

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.77
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 18, 2026 1:00 AM
ResultWIN0 - 2
StartStarted 54d 23h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -0.51% · n=382
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 55d 6h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is LDU Quito (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: LDU Quito (W)

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

31/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.43First seen
Current2.78Now
Max odds2.78Highest point
Min odds2.38Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Barcelona Guayaquil (W)HOME
VS
LDU Quito (W)AWAY
LWDWW
Recent form
WLWWW
Avg goals scored
3.00
5.00
Defensive weakness
0.80
0.80
Shots on target for
4.33
10.67
SoT conceded pressure
5.33
4.00
Home splitL-W-W-W3.50 scored / 0.75 conceded
Away splitW-W2.00 scored / 0.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.77. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -0.51% based on n=382 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Ecuador Primera Women (ec). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.77
V2 BandNONEROI -0.51% · n=382
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for LDU Quito (W). The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. LDU Quito (W) has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 11.8% 7D: 15.0% 15D: 1.5% 30D: 0.1%
Model insight

Barcelona Guayaquil (W) – LDU Quito (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.77. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -0.51% across 382 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample40
Win Rate42.5%
Profit+8.98u
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Pick
2 @ 2.77
Kickoff
Mag 18, 2026 1:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -0.51% • n=382
Start
Started 54d 23h ago
Updated
Updated 55d 6h ago
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