Barcelona Guayaquil (W) – LDU Quito (W)

Model: TIPPSA

Barcelona Guayaquil (W) – LDU Quito (W)

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.77
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 18, 2026 1:00 AM
ResultWIN0 - 2
StartStarted 9d 12h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -0.51% · n=382
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 9d 19h ago

Team Form & Goal Trends

Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.

Metric Barcelona Guayaquil (W) LDU Quito (W)
Last 5 form L-W-D-W-W W-L-W-W-W
Avg goals scored 3.00 5.00
Avg goals conceded 0.80 0.80
Home/Away form L-W-W-W (home) W-W (away)
Home/Away avg goals 3.50 scored / 0.75 conceded 2.00 scored / 0.00 conceded
Shots on target 4.33 for / 5.33 against 10.67 for / 4.00 against
Home/Away shots on target 5.50 for / 6.00 against (home) 9.00 for / 5.00 against (away)

AI Match Insight

The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for LDU Quito (W). This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. LDU Quito (W) has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.43First seen
Current2.78Now
Max odds2.78Highest point
Min odds2.38Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight

Barcelona Guayaquil (W) – LDU Quito (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.77. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -0.51% across 382 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample31
Win Rate41.9%
Profit+6.49u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINFC Chernigiv - FC Metalist Kharkiv2.77-1.07%
LOSSBurnley - Wolverhampton2.90-1.07%
LOSSTabor Sezana - NK Rudar Velenje2.87-1.07%
WINSturm Graz II - Rapid Vienna II2.88-0.51%
LOSSHB Torshavn - Vikingur Gota2.85-0.51%
WINFC Thun - Young Boys2.93-0.51%
LOSSHradec Kralove - Slovan Liberec2.86-0.51%
LOSSHartford Athletic - Detroit City FC2.80-0.51%
Pick
2 @ 2.77
Kickoff
Mag 18, 2026 1:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -0.51% • n=382
Start
Started 9d 12h ago
Updated
Updated 9d 19h ago
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