Model: TIPPSA
Barry Town – Haverfordwest County
PREDICTION
2
@ 3.34
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 26, 2026 8:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 30d 10h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.04% · n=73
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.04% · n=73
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 30d 12h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Barry Town | Haverfordwest County |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | D-L-W | D-W-W |
| Avg goals scored | 1.00 | 2.67 |
| Avg goals conceded | 0.67 | 0.33 |
| Home/Away form | D-L (home) | D-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 0.50 scored / 1.00 conceded | 1.00 scored / 0.50 conceded |
| Shots on target | 3.00 for / 6.00 against | 8.00 for / 1.67 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 2.00 for / 7.50 against (home) | 5.50 for / 2.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Haverfordwest County is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.65First seen
Current3.60Now
Max odds3.80Highest point
Min odds3.52Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
Model insight
Barry Town – Haverfordwest County Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.34. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 3.04% and 3.04%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample29
Win Rate41.4%
Profit+11.20u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Rapid Vienna - SV Ried | 3.29 | 4.77% |
| WIN | America MG - Vila Nova | 3.33 | 3.84% |
| LOSS | Slavia Prague - Viktoria Plzen | 3.49 | 4.77% |
| LOSS | Widzew Lodz - Piast Gliwice | 3.28 | 4.77% |
| LOSS | Grasshoppers - Aarau | 3.58 | 3.84% |
| WIN | Sport Recife - CRB | 3.38 | 3.04% |
| LOSS | Iwaki FC - Matsumoto Y FC | 3.40 | 2.94% |
| LOSS | Yunnan Yukun - Shanghai Shenhua | 3.31 | 2.94% |
Pick
2 @ 3.34
Kickoff
Apr 26, 2026 8:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.04% • n=73
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
3.04% • n=73
Start
Started 30d 10h ago
Updated
Updated 30d 12h ago