Arda Kardzhali vs Botev Plovdiv
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Botev Plovdiv. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Botev PlovdivValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.00. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -3.72% based on n=146 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Bulgaria First League (bg). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.
AI Match Insight
The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for Botev Plovdiv. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Botev Plovdiv is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Arda Kardzhali – Botev Plovdiv Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Anapolis FC - Botafogo PB | 3.10 | -1.07% |
| WIN | AC Boise - One Knoxville SC | 2.84 | -1.07% |
| WIN | FC Haka - KTP | 2.97 | -1.07% |
| LOSS | Valur Reykjavik - Keflavik | 2.93 | -1.07% |
| LOSS | Avai - Cuiaba | 3.20 | -1.07% |
| WIN | Sao Bernardo SP - EC Juventude | 3.22 | -1.07% |
| WIN | Bahir Dar Kenema FC - Wolaita Dicha | 2.82 | -1.07% |
| LOSS | Belgrano (W) - CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) | 3.02 | -1.07% |