Bay FC (W) – Chicago Stars (W)

Model: TipTromba2H

Bay FC (W) vs Chicago Stars (W)

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.60
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 25, 2026 1:00 AM
ResultLOSS0 - 1
StartStarted 48d 22h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -3.38% · n=1115
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 49d 21h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Bay FC (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Bay FC (W)

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

7/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.78First seen
Current1.63Now
Max odds1.78Highest point
Min odds1.60Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Bay FC (W)HOME
VS
Chicago Stars (W)AWAY
LLDDW
Recent form
WLLLL
Avg goals scored
0.40
0.20
Defensive weakness
0.80
2.20
Shots on target for
4.40
3.40
SoT conceded pressure
4.60
6.20
Home splitL-D-D-L0.25 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitW-L-L-L0.25 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.60. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -3.38% based on n=1115 historical similar picks. The match belongs to USA NWSL Women (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.60
V2 BandNONEROI -3.38% · n=1115
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The low odds suggest strong market confidence, and the available form indicators generally support that view. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Bay FC (W) has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 45.7% 7D: 42.3% 15D: 24.4% 30D: 8.1%
Model insight

Bay FC (W) – Chicago Stars (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.60. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba2H model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -3.38% across 1115 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample370
Win Rate65.7%
Profit+20.62u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINChapecoense U20 - Figueirense U201.70-3.82%
LOSSIronbound - Manhattan SC1.65-1.89%
LOSSSeacoast United Phantoms - AC Connecticut1.60-1.89%
WINFC Copenhagen - AC Horsens1.67-1.89%
WINManagua FC - Rancho Santana FC1.62-3.38%
LOSSRhode Island FC - Brooklyn FC1.50-3.38%
WINFC Tucson - Capo FC1.70-1.89%
WINCanterbury Bankstown FC - Prospect United1.50-1.89%
Pick
1 @ 1.60
Kickoff
Mag 25, 2026 1:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -3.38% • n=1115
Start
Started 48d 22h ago
Updated
Updated 49d 21h ago
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