Beitar Tel Aviv Holon – Ironi Beit Dagan

Model: TIPPSH

Beitar Tel Aviv Holon vs Ironi Beit Dagan

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.24
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffSet 04, 2026 12:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 2
StartStarted 1d 8h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537
V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 10h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Beitar Tel Aviv Holon. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Beitar Tel Aviv HolonGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

32/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.00First seen
Current2.24Now
Max odds2.24Highest point
Min odds2.00Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Beitar Tel Aviv HolonHOME
VS
Ironi Beit DaganAWAY
L
Recent form
WL
Avg goals scored
1.00
1.00
Defensive weakness
2.00
2.00
Shots on target for
2.00
3.50
SoT conceded pressure
7.00
2.50
Home splitL1.00 scored / 2.00 conceded
Away splitW-L1.00 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.24. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Israel Liga Bet South (il). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.24
V2 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537
V4 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: -5.2% 7D: 2.6% 15D: 11.6% 30D: 6.9%
Model insight

Beitar Tel Aviv Holon – Ironi Beit Dagan Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.24. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.31% and 1.31%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample718
Win Rate46.1%
Profit+0.43u
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Pick
1 @ 2.24
Kickoff
Set 04, 2026 12:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.31% • n=2537
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
1.31% • n=2537
Start
Started 1d 8h ago
Updated
Updated 1d 10h ago
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