Model: TipA1

Belen Arco Zaragoza vs Molino Viejo

PREDICTION

@ 2.05

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 11, 2026 7:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 1d 16h

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -3.85% · n=318

V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -3.85% · n=318

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 12m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Molino Viejo. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Molino ViejoGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.018 | A: 0.082

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

12/100

Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Belen Arco ZaragozaHOME

Molino ViejoAWAY

DLLDL

Recent form

WWWW

Avg goals scored

0.80

3.00

Defensive weakness

2.00

1.00

Shots on target for

4.00

9.25

SoT conceded pressure

6.20

4.00

Home splitL-D1.00 scored / 1.50 conceded

Away splitW3.00 scored / 0.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.05. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -3.85% based on n=318 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Colombia Regional League (co). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.05

V2 BandNONEROI -3.85% · n=318

V4 BandNONEROI -3.85% · n=318

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors Molino Viejo. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Molino Viejo's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: -1.1% 7D: 5.6% 15D: 9.3% 30D: 9.2%

Model insight

Belen Arco Zaragoza – Molino Viejo Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.05. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -3.85% and -3.85%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample204

Win Rate47.1%

Profit-4.80u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Klepp (W) - Fyllingsdalen (W)	2.00	-1.48%
LOSS	Jonsereds IF - Landvetter IS	2.15	-3.85%
LOSS	Storfors AIK - Umeå FF	2.15	-1.48%
WIN	Nordstrand - Frigg	2.00	-1.48%
LOSS	Redcar Athletic - Bury	2.10	-3.85%
WIN	Räppe GOIF - IFK Berga	2.05	-1.48%
LOSS	Union San Felipe - Deportes Recoleta	2.00	-3.85%
LOSS	San Francisco Reserves - CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves	2.00	-1.48%

Pick

2 @ 2.05

Kickoff

Ago 11, 2026 7:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -3.85% • n=318

Confidence V4

CONF V4: NONE

Exp. ROI V4

-3.85% • n=318

Start

Starts in 1d 16h

Updated

Updated 12m ago