Model: TIPPSH

Sao Bernardo SP vs Botafogo SP

PREDICTION

@ 2.30

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 15, 2026 2:00 AM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 4d 22h

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 9m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Sao Bernardo SP. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Sao Bernardo SPGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.019 | A: 0.083

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

34/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Sao Bernardo SPHOME

Botafogo SPAWAY

WLLDD

Recent form

WLWDD

Avg goals scored

2.00

1.80

Defensive weakness

2.00

1.40

Shots on target for

5.40

3.40

SoT conceded pressure

4.80

4.00

Home splitL-D-D-L-D1.20 scored / 1.60 conceded

Away splitL-D-D-W-L0.80 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.30. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.59% based on n=2341 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Serie B (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.30

V2 BandLOWROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Sao Bernardo SP's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: 2.4% 7D: 6.4% 15D: 10.0% 30D: 9.6%

Model insight

Sao Bernardo SP – Botafogo SP Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.30. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.59% across 2341 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample364

Win Rate45.9%

Profit+5.73u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Planalto EC (W) - Pantanal (W)	2.12	1.04%
LOSS	Huachipato (W) - Palestino (W)	2.37	1.59%
LOSS	JS Hercules - SJK Akatemia II	2.32	1.59%
LOSS	Lujan - Central Cordoba de Rosario	2.07	1.04%
LOSS	CS Deportivo Sacachispas - Mictlán	2.06	1.04%
WIN	Alemannia Aachen - Verl	2.17	1.04%
LOSS	FC Probiy Horodenka - FC Chernigiv	2.22	1.04%
LOSS	Santos - Athletico Paranaense	2.16	1.31%

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Pick

1 @ 2.30

Kickoff

Ago 15, 2026 2:00 AM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.59% • n=2341

Start

Starts in 4d 22h

Updated

Updated 9m ago