CSD Flandria – Excursionistas

Model: TipTromba35H

CSD Flandria vs Excursionistas

PREDICTION
1
@ 3.00
StatusUpcoming
KickoffLug 26, 2026 12:00 AM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 2d 18h
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.85% · n=519
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 6m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is CSD Flandria. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: CSD FlandriaGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.056 | A: 0.018

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

48/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.70First seen
Current3.00Now
Max odds3.00Highest point
Min odds2.70Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

CSD FlandriaHOME
VS
ExcursionistasAWAY
LWDLL
Recent form
DWLLW
Avg goals scored
0.60
1.80
Defensive weakness
1.20
1.00
Shots on target for
3.40
2.80
SoT conceded pressure
3.20
2.20
Home splitW-L-W-L-D1.00 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitW-L-W-W-D1.60 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.00. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.85% based on n=519 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Argentina Primera B Metropolitana (ar). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd3.00
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.85% · n=519
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 0.0% 7D: 25.5% 15D: 22.0% 30D: 21.7%
Model insight

CSD Flandria – Excursionistas Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.00. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba35H model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.85% across 519 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample122
Win Rate30.3%
Profit-7.40u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINFeignies Aulnoye FC - Seraing United3.003.85%
LOSSCentral Espanol Reserves - Liverpool Montevideo Reserves3.253.56%
WINAlgeria (W) - Zambia (W)3.254.14%
LOSSEkhaya FC - Big Bullets3.254.14%
WINPaulista FC - Primavera SP3.003.85%
LOSSFluminense PI U20 - CA Piauiense U203.253.56%
LOSSMoravia Morawica - Star Starachowice3.103.85%
LOSSMerthyr Town - Yeovil3.253.56%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Sandnes Ulf - Kongsvinger13.254.14%26 Jul 17:00
Gyirmot SE - Csakvari TK13.002.17%26 Jul 17:00
Pick
1 @ 3.00
Kickoff
Lug 26, 2026 12:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.85% • n=519
Start
Starts in 2d 18h
Updated
Updated 6m ago
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