Paulista FC vs Primavera SP
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Paulista FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Paulista FCValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.00. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.85% based on n=519 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Paulista Cup (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup.
Paulista FC – Primavera SP Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Moravia Morawica - Star Starachowice | 3.10 | 3.85% |
| LOSS | Merthyr Town - Yeovil | 3.25 | 3.56% |
| WIN | Clyde - Airdrieonians | 3.10 | 3.85% |
| LOSS | Wisla Krakow - Wrexham | 3.00 | 3.85% |
| LOSS | Defensores de Cambaceres - Sacachispas | 3.20 | 3.85% |
| WIN | Puiu - PPJ | 3.10 | 2.17% |
| LOSS | Aalesund - Molde | 3.12 | 3.85% |
| WIN | Aguia de Maraba - ABC | 3.10 | 3.85% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fluminense PI U20 - CA Piauiense U20 | 1 | 3.25 | 3.56% | 18 Jul 23:00 |