Model: TIPPSA
BFA Vilnius – FK Garliava
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.30
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 19, 2026 8:00 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 1
StartStarted 7d 12h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.43% · n=79
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.43% · n=79
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 7d 16h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | BFA Vilnius | FK Garliava |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-L-L-L-W | L-W-W-W-W |
| Avg goals scored | 0.80 | 2.40 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.40 | 0.80 |
| Home/Away form | W-L-L-W-W (home) | L-W-W-L-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.40 scored / 1.80 conceded | 1.80 scored / 0.80 conceded |
| Shots on target | 3.80 for / 4.00 against | 6.40 for / 2.20 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 4.00 for / 3.75 against (home) | 4.50 for / 3.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. FK Garliava is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.15First seen
Current2.20Now
Max odds2.20Highest point
Min odds2.10Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
BFA Vilnius – FK Garliava Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.30. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 3.43% and 3.43%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample143
Win Rate42.0%
Profit-4.65u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | SC Kiryat Yam - Maccabi Petah Tikva | 2.25 | 3.43% |
| LOSS | Glasgow City (W) - Rangers (W) | 2.05 | 2.63% |
| LOSS | Lobos UPNFM Reserves - CD Marathon Reserves | 2.18 | 2.63% |
| LOSS | NK Radomlje - NS Mura | 2.55 | 4.13% |
| LOSS | Radnik Bijeljina - Borac Banja Luka | 2.18 | 2.63% |
| LOSS | ADO Den Haag (W) - PEC Zwolle (W) | 2.25 | 4.13% |
| WIN | Guayaquil City - Orense | 2.48 | 3.59% |
| LOSS | AFC Hermannstadt - FCSB | 2.26 | 3.31% |
Pick
2 @ 2.30
Kickoff
Mag 19, 2026 8:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.43% • n=79
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
3.43% • n=79
Start
Started 7d 12h ago
Updated
Updated 7d 16h ago