Model: TipA1

BFA Vilnius vs FK Garliava

PREDICTION

@ 2.15

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 19, 2026 8:00 PM

ResultLOSS2 - 1

StartStarted 52d 13h ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.03% · n=125

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.03% · n=125

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 53d 9h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is FK Garliava. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: FK Garliava

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

30/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.15First seen

Current2.18Now

Max odds2.18Highest point

Min odds2.15Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

BFA VilniusHOME

FK GarliavaAWAY

WLLLW

Recent form

LWWWW

Avg goals scored

0.80

2.40

Defensive weakness

2.40

0.80

Shots on target for

3.80

6.40

SoT conceded pressure

4.00

2.20

Home splitW-L-L-W-W1.40 scored / 1.80 conceded

Away splitL-W-W-L-W1.80 scored / 0.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.15. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.03% based on n=125 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Lithuania Cup (lt). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.15

V2 BandLOWROI 1.03% · n=125

V4 BandLOWROI 1.03% · n=125

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives FK Garliava a useful statistical edge. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. FK Garliava has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 20.4% 7D: 20.8% 15D: 7.8% 30D: 1.4%

Model insight

BFA Vilnius – FK Garliava Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.15. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.03% and 1.03%. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample49

Win Rate44.9%

Profit+1.71u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki - AS Trencin	2.40	1.02%
WIN	Universitatea Cluj - Vojvodina	2.40	1.02%
WIN	CD Rengo Unido - Colchagua CD	2.00	1.03%
LOSS	Futuro FC - Chimbarongo FC	2.35	1.02%
LOSS	CRAC - Tombense MG	2.40	1.02%
LOSS	Murdoch University Melville FC - Inglewood United	2.25	1.02%
LOSS	SIF - SJK-j	2.30	1.02%
LOSS	Sol de Mayo - Olimpo B Blanca	2.35	1.02%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Heidelberg United (W) - Alamein FC (W)	2	2.25	1.02%	11 Jul 08:15

Pick

2 @ 2.15

Kickoff

Mag 19, 2026 8:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.03% • n=125

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.03% • n=125

Start

Started 52d 13h ago

Updated

Updated 53d 9h ago