Model: TipA1
BFA Vilnius – FK Garliava
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.15
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 19, 2026 8:00 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 1
StartStarted 7d 4h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.03% · n=125
V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.03% · n=125
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 8d ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | BFA Vilnius | FK Garliava |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-L-L-L-W | L-W-W-W-W |
| Avg goals scored | 0.80 | 2.40 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.40 | 0.80 |
| Home/Away form | W-L-L-W-W (home) | L-W-W-L-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.40 scored / 1.80 conceded | 1.80 scored / 0.80 conceded |
| Shots on target | 3.80 for / 4.00 against | 6.40 for / 2.20 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 4.00 for / 3.75 against (home) | 4.50 for / 3.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. FK Garliava is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.15First seen
Current2.18Now
Max odds2.18Highest point
Min odds2.15Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
BFA Vilnius – FK Garliava Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.15. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.03% and 1.03%. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample30
Win Rate53.3%
Profit+7.05u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | La Luz Reserves - Juventud De Las Piedras Reserves | 2.35 | 1.02% |
| LOSS | North Texas SC - The Town | 2.30 | 1.02% |
| LOSS | SK Prostejov - FC Silon Taborsko | 2.35 | 1.02% |
| WIN | Sorrento U23 - Olympic Kingsway U23 | 2.00 | 1.03% |
| WIN | Bentleigh Greens U23 - Caroline Springs George Cross U23 | 2.35 | 1.02% |
| LOSS | Resistencia FC - General Caballero JLM | 2.35 | 1.02% |
| LOSS | Wynnum Wolves - Brisbane Olympic FC | 2.25 | 1.02% |
| LOSS | Rio Negro RR (W) - Ceara (W) | 2.25 | 1.02% |
Pick
2 @ 2.15
Kickoff
Mag 19, 2026 8:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.03% • n=125
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
1.03% • n=125
Start
Started 7d 4h ago
Updated
Updated 8d ago