Model: TIPPSH

Bjelovar vs NK Krizevci

PREDICTION

@ 2.52

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 08, 2026 8:00 PM

ResultLOSS2 - 2

StartStarted 1d 3h ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 1d 6h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Bjelovar. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: BjelovarGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.033 | A: -0.038

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

36/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds3.75First seen

Current2.52Now

Max odds3.79Highest point

Min odds2.52Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

BjelovarHOME

NK KrizevciAWAY

DWDLD

Recent form

DDDLL

Avg goals scored

1.40

0.80

Defensive weakness

1.00

1.40

Shots on target for

5.20

3.60

SoT conceded pressure

3.60

4.00

Home splitD-D-L-W-L1.80 scored / 1.60 conceded

Away splitD-L-D-L-W1.40 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.52. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.59% based on n=2341 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Europe Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.52

V2 BandLOWROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Despite entering the match at a generous price, Bjelovar has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Bjelovar's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 17.2% 7D: 13.4% 15D: 8.5% 30D: 11.1%

Model insight

Bjelovar – NK Krizevci Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.52. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.59% across 2341 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample173

Win Rate38.2%

Profit-11.29u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	JS Hercules - SJK Akatemia II	2.32	1.59%
LOSS	Polonia Sroda Slaska - Moto Jelcz Olawa	2.62	1.59%
WIN	MKS Kluczbork - Gornik Polkowice	2.30	1.59%
LOSS	KF Fjallabyggd - KV Vesturbaer	2.57	1.59%
WIN	76 Igdir Belediyespor - Fatih Karagumruk	2.46	1.59%
WIN	Vasas SC - Zalaegerszegi TE	2.33	1.59%
LOSS	Minas Boca U20 - EC Villa Real U20	2.45	1.41%
LOSS	Honiara City FC - Malaita Kingz	2.32	1.59%

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Pick

1 @ 2.52

Kickoff

Ago 08, 2026 8:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.59% • n=2341

Start

Started 1d 3h ago

Updated

Updated 1d 6h ago