North Star – Logan Lightning

Model: TIPPSH

North Star vs Logan Lightning

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.42
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 23, 2026 11:00 AM
ResultPending
StartStarted 48d 20h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.59% · n=2341
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 48d 22h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is North Star. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: North Star

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

35/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.20First seen
Current2.65Now
Max odds3.20Highest point
Min odds2.65Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

North StarHOME
VS
Logan LightningAWAY
LWLWW
Recent form
WWLWL
Avg goals scored
2.00
1.60
Defensive weakness
2.20
2.00
Shots on target for
4.80
4.20
SoT conceded pressure
5.00
5.80
Home splitL-W-L-L1.25 scored / 2.00 conceded
Away splitW-W-W-L-L1.60 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.42. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.59% based on n=2341 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia Queensland Premier League (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.42
V2 BandLOWROI 1.59% · n=2341
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 17.9% 7D: 16.3% 15D: 13.7% 30D: 4.7%
Model insight

North Star – Logan Lightning Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.42. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.59% across 2341 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample132
Win Rate42.4%
Profit-0.69u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINBrisbane Roar NPL - Rochedale Rovers2.501.59%
WINNublense - O'Higgins2.391.41%
WINAarhus Fremad - Silkeborg IF2.641.41%
WINAthlone Town - Cobh Ramblers2.511.59%
LOSSCheonan City - Gimhae FC 20082.191.31%
WINBelconnen United U23 - Canberra Juventus U232.251.59%
LOSSOlaria AC - Bonsucesso FC2.191.04%
LOSSAthletic Club MG - Operario PR2.491.59%
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Pick
1 @ 2.42
Kickoff
Mag 23, 2026 11:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.59% • n=2341
Start
Started 48d 20h ago
Updated
Updated 48d 22h ago
Torna in alto