North Star vs Logan Lightning
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is North Star. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: North StarValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.42. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.59% based on n=2341 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia Queensland Premier League (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction.
North Star – Logan Lightning Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Brisbane Roar NPL - Rochedale Rovers | 2.50 | 1.59% |
| WIN | Nublense - O'Higgins | 2.39 | 1.41% |
| WIN | Aarhus Fremad - Silkeborg IF | 2.64 | 1.41% |
| WIN | Athlone Town - Cobh Ramblers | 2.51 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | Cheonan City - Gimhae FC 2008 | 2.19 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Belconnen United U23 - Canberra Juventus U23 | 2.25 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | Olaria AC - Bonsucesso FC | 2.19 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Athletic Club MG - Operario PR | 2.49 | 1.59% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Lahti - FC Ilves | 1 | 2.65 | 1.59% | 30 May 16:00 |
| Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 30 May 18:30 |
| Boca Juniors Reserves - River Plate Reserves | 1 | 2.40 | 1.59% | 05 Jul 19:00 |
| Barra FC - Santa Cruz FC | 1 | 2.28 | 1.59% | 12 Jul 16:00 |
| Figueirense - Volta Redonda | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 14 Jul 01:30 |