Model: TIPPSH

FC Lahti vs FC Ilves

PREDICTION

@ 2.60

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 30, 2026 6:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarted 86d 19h ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 87d 13h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is FC Lahti. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: FC LahtiGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

37/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.65First seen

Current2.60Now

Max odds2.65Highest point

Min odds2.60Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

FC LahtiHOME

FC IlvesAWAY

WWLDW

Recent form

LWWLD

Avg goals scored

2.20

1.20

Defensive weakness

0.80

2.00

Shots on target for

6.20

4.20

SoT conceded pressure

2.80

4.80

Home splitW-D-W-D-W2.40 scored / 0.80 conceded

Away splitL-D-W-D-L1.80 scored / 2.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.60. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.59% based on n=2341 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Finland Veikkausliiga (fi). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.60

V2 BandLOWROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

Despite entering the match at a generous price, FC Lahti has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. FC Lahti is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 8.2% 7D: 31.8% 15D: 25.8% 30D: 6.9%

Model insight

FC Lahti – FC Ilves Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.60. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.59% across 2341 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample187

Win Rate36.9%

Profit-15.32u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Mbeya City - Mashujaa FC	2.47	1.59%
LOSS	Real Esteli - Diriangen	2.42	1.59%
WIN	EB/Streymur - AB Argir	2.39	1.59%
LOSS	Roosendaal - FC Lisse	2.65	1.59%
LOSS	Needham Market - Halesowen	2.37	1.59%
WIN	Madla - Vidar	2.47	1.41%
LOSS	North Texas SC - Minnesota United FC II	2.54	1.59%
LOSS	Al Khaleej Saihat - Al Shabab Riyadh	2.65	1.59%

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Pick

1 @ 2.60

Kickoff

Mag 30, 2026 6:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.59% • n=2341

Start

Started 86d 19h ago

Updated

Updated 87d 13h ago