Model: TIPPSA

Boca Unidos vs San Martin Formosa

PREDICTION

@ 2.26

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffGiu 14, 2026 10:30 PM

ResultLOSS3 - 1

StartStarted 54d 6h ago

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.13% · n=261

V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.13% · n=261

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 54d 8h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is San Martin Formosa. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: San Martin FormosaGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

42/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.38First seen

Current2.22Now

Max odds2.47Highest point

Min odds2.20Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Boca UnidosHOME

San Martin FormosaAWAY

WLWLD

Recent form

LWWLW

Avg goals scored

1.00

2.20

Defensive weakness

1.40

2.20

Shots on target for

2.80

5.60

SoT conceded pressure

7.40

5.00

Home splitW-W-L-W-L2.00 scored / 1.60 conceded

Away splitL-W-L-W-D1.60 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.26. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.13% based on n=261 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Argentina Torneo A (ar). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.26

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.13% · n=261

V4 BandMEDIUMROI 4.13% · n=261

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. San Martin Formosa has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -26.1% 7D: 3.7% 15D: -5.9% 30D: 11.1%

Model insight

Boca Unidos – San Martin Formosa Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.26. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.13% and 4.13%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample169

Win Rate42.0%

Profit-9.62u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Sarmiento - Independiente Rivadavia	2.21	2.63%
LOSS	Social Atletico Television (W) - CA Talleres de Cordoba (W)	2.22	2.63%
LOSS	Ansan Greeners FC - Gimhae FC 2008	2.38	3.43%
WIN	Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin - Hapoel Haifa	2.01	2.63%
LOSS	New Mexico United - Colorado Switchbacks FC	2.36	4.13%
LOSS	AA Guarany - Atletico Gloriense	2.36	3.59%
WIN	FC Cajamarca - Sport Huancayo	2.35	4.13%
LOSS	Sol de Mayo - Club Villa Mitre	2.15	2.63%

Pick

2 @ 2.26

Kickoff

Giu 14, 2026 10:30 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 4.13% • n=261

Confidence V4

CONF V4: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V4

4.13% • n=261

Start

Started 54d 6h ago

Updated

Updated 54d 8h ago