Model: TIPPSH

Bolivar vs Fluminense

PREDICTION

@ 2.05

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 01, 2026 2:00 AM

ResultWIN2 - 0

StartStarted 72d 19h ago

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.30% · n=590

V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.30% · n=590

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 76d 9h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Bolivar. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Bolivar

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

33/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.07First seen

Current2.05Now

Max odds2.07Highest point

Min odds2.05Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

BolivarHOME

FluminenseAWAY

WWLDW

Recent form

LWDWL

Avg goals scored

2.40

1.20

Defensive weakness

0.60

1.40

Shots on target for

9.00

5.20

SoT conceded pressure

2.00

3.80

Home splitW-W-L-D-W3.00 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitL-D-W-D-D0.80 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.05. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.30% based on n=590 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Copa Libertadores. Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.05

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.30% · n=590

V4 BandMEDIUMROI 2.30% · n=590

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives Bolivar a useful statistical edge. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Bolivar is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 17.0% 7D: 9.3% 15D: 9.7% 30D: 16.8%

Model insight

Bolivar – Fluminense Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.05. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.30% and 2.30%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample326

Win Rate47.9%

Profit-14.64u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Wexford FC - Kerry FC	1.90	3.37%
WIN	Alamein FC (W) - Preston Lions (W)	1.90	3.37%
WIN	Houston FC - Hill Country Lobos	1.85	3.37%
WIN	BFA Vilnius - FK Ekranas	2.25	3.15%
LOSS	Nautico - EC Juventude	2.27	3.15%
WIN	FK Jelgava - SC Grobinas	2.05	3.37%
WIN	Cuiaba - America MG	2.13	3.37%
LOSS	Jacuipense U20 - Fluminense De Feira U20	2.30	2.49%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Slask Wroclaw II - KKS 1925 Kalisz	1	1.98	4.86%	09 May 13:00
FC Spartak Trnava - MSK Zilina	1	1.93	2.30%	10 May 19:00

Pick

1 @ 2.05

Kickoff

Mag 01, 2026 2:00 AM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 2.30% • n=590

Confidence V4

CONF V4: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V4

2.30% • n=590

Start

Started 72d 19h ago

Updated

Updated 76d 9h ago