Model: TIPPSH

Botafogo vs Racing Club

PREDICTION

@ 2.25

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 07, 2026 4:30 AM

ResultWIN2 - 1

StartStarted 65d 11h ago

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.54% · n=136

V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.54% · n=136

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 65d 15h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Botafogo. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Botafogo

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

22/100

Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.15First seen

Current2.25Now

Max odds2.32Highest point

Min odds2.15Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

BotafogoHOME

Racing ClubAWAY

WLWDW

Recent form

LDDDD

Avg goals scored

1.80

0.80

Defensive weakness

1.00

Shots on target for

6.80

3.00

SoT conceded pressure

4.00

3.40

Home splitW-L-W-D-W1.80 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitL-D-D-W-L1.20 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.25. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.54% based on n=136 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Copa Sudamericana. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.25

V2 BandNONEROI -1.54% · n=136

V4 BandNONEROI -1.54% · n=136

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Botafogo has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: 1.5% 7D: -14.8% 15D: -2.3% 30D: 9.8%

Model insight

Botafogo – Racing Club Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.25. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -1.54% and -1.54%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample49

Win Rate38.8%

Profit-4.09u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Rouen - Laval	2.29	-1.54%
LOSS	Aarau - Grasshoppers	2.46	-0.42%
LOSS	F91 Dudelange - UNA Strassen	2.38	-1.54%
LOSS	Padova U19 - Venezia U19	2.38	-1.54%
WIN	Sport Boys - Cusco FC	2.36	-1.54%
WIN	FC Osaka Speranza (W) - Renofa Yamaguchi (W)	2.50	-1.54%
LOSS	St Gallen - FC Thun	2.25	-1.54%
LOSS	Montana - Spartak Varna	2.44	-1.54%

Pick

1 @ 2.25

Kickoff

Mag 07, 2026 4:30 AM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -1.54% • n=136

Confidence V4

CONF V4: NONE

Exp. ROI V4

-1.54% • n=136

Start

Started 65d 11h ago

Updated

Updated 65d 15h ago