Model: TIPPSH
Botev Plovdiv – Lokomotiv Plovdiv
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.08
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 03, 2026 5:15 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 2
StartStarted 23d 7h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.30% · n=590
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.30% · n=590
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 23d 9h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Botev Plovdiv | Lokomotiv Plovdiv |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-W-W-D-W | W-D-L-W-D |
| Avg goals scored | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| Avg goals conceded | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| Home/Away form | L-D-W (home) | W-W-D-D (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 2.00 scored / 1.00 conceded | 1.75 scored / 0.25 conceded |
| Shots on target | 6.80 for / 3.60 against | 4.60 for / 3.40 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 7.00 for / 4.33 against (home) | 5.25 for / 3.50 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Botev Plovdiv is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.87First seen
Current2.08Now
Max odds2.08Highest point
Min odds1.87Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Botev Plovdiv – Lokomotiv Plovdiv Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.08. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.30% and 2.30%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample265
Win Rate47.9%
Profit-11.67u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Bangor Celtic FC - St Mochtas | 2.27 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | AF Chilibre - Deportivo Ana Luisa Flores | 2.12 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Ascoli - Catania | 2.28 | 2.49% |
| WIN | 29 de Septiembre FBC - Club General Martin Ledesma | 2.31 | 3.15% |
| LOSS | Central & Western - Hoi King | 2.20 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Kariya - Gakunan F Mosuperio | 2.28 | 2.49% |
| WIN | Varnsdorf - Mladá Boleslav B | 1.89 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | South Melbourne - Auckland FC II | 1.84 | 3.37% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slask Wroclaw II - KKS 1925 Kalisz | 1 | 1.98 | 4.86% | 09 May 13:00 |
| FC Spartak Trnava - MSK Zilina | 1 | 1.93 | 2.30% | 10 May 19:00 |
Pick
1 @ 2.08
Kickoff
Mag 03, 2026 5:15 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.30% • n=590
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
2.30% • n=590
Start
Started 23d 7h ago
Updated
Updated 23d 9h ago