CA Atlanta Reserves – CA San Miguel Reserves

Model: TIPPSH

CA Atlanta Reserves vs CA San Miguel Reserves

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.11
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 13, 2026 8:00 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 2
StartStarted 16h 6m ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 19h 30m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is CA Atlanta Reserves. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: CA Atlanta ReservesGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.055 | A: 0.015

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

30/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.80First seen
Current2.11Now
Max odds2.11Highest point
Min odds1.80Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

CA Atlanta ReservesHOME
VS
CA San Miguel ReservesAWAY
LWDDW
Recent form
WLWLW
Avg goals scored
1.20
1.20
Defensive weakness
1.00
0.80
Shots on target for
4.20
3.60
SoT conceded pressure
2.80
3.60
Home splitL-W-D-W-W1.80 scored / 0.80 conceded
Away splitW-L-L-D-L0.80 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.11. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Argentina Nacional Reserve League (ar). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.11
V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Recent form does not create a strong separation, making the confidence band especially important here. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: -11.2% 7D: 7.1% 15D: 11.9% 30D: 10.8%
Model insight

CA Atlanta Reserves – CA San Miguel Reserves Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.11. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample540
Win Rate47.8%
Profit-6.55u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
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WINDunajska Streda U19 - ZP Sport Podbrezova U192.081.04%
WINPortland Timbers - Tijuana1.931.04%
LOSSClub America - Austin FC1.931.04%
LOSSUnion Rochefortoise - Crossing Schaerbeek2.071.04%
WINMeasurers Club - Rainbow AC1.981.04%
WINFK Horni Redice - MFK Chrudim1.881.31%
WINReal Jaen - Cacereno2.251.41%
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Pick
1 @ 2.11
Kickoff
Ago 13, 2026 8:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438
Start
Started 16h 6m ago
Updated
Updated 19h 30m ago
Torna in alto