Model: TIPPSH

CD Moron Reserves vs Club Atletico Mitre Reserves

PREDICTION

@ 2.20

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 13, 2026 6:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 7h 34m

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 9m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is CD Moron Reserves. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: CD Moron ReservesGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.033 | A: -0.058

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

32/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.25First seen

Current2.25Now

Max odds2.25Highest point

Min odds2.25Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendStableShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

CD Moron ReservesHOME

Club Atletico Mitre ReservesAWAY

WDLWW

Recent form

DDDLW

Avg goals scored

1.20

Defensive weakness

0.80

1.40

Shots on target for

4.00

2.40

SoT conceded pressure

2.40

3.20

Home splitW-L-W-W-D1.20 scored / 0.60 conceded

Away splitD-D-W-L-W1.60 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.20. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Argentina Nacional Reserve League (ar). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.20

V2 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537

V4 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors CD Moron Reserves. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to CD Moron Reserves's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 15.5% 7D: 13.6% 15D: 14.9% 30D: 12.4%

Model insight

CD Moron Reserves – Club Atletico Mitre Reserves Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.20. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.31% and 1.31%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample459

Win Rate47.7%

Profit+8.29u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Union Rochefortoise - Crossing Schaerbeek	2.07	1.04%
WIN	Measurers Club - Rainbow AC	1.98	1.04%
WIN	Real Jaen - Cacereno	2.25	1.41%
WIN	Throttur Reykjavik (W) - Valur Reykjavik (W)	2.10	1.04%
LOSS	Flamengo SP U20 - GO Audax U20	2.37	1.59%
WIN	New York City FC II - Orlando City II	2.14	1.04%
LOSS	Berwick Rangers - Hearts B	2.04	1.31%
LOSS	Bragantino - Atletico Mineiro	2.00	1.04%

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Pick

1 @ 2.20

Kickoff

Ago 13, 2026 6:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.31% • n=2537

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.31% • n=2537

Start

Starts in 7h 34m

Updated

Updated 9m ago