Model: TIPPSA
Cambuur Leeuwarden – Vitesse
PREDICTION
2
@ 3.58
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 24, 2026 10:00 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 1
StartStarted 32d 6h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.94% · n=186
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 32d 9h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Cambuur Leeuwarden | Vitesse |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-L-D-D-L | L-D-W-W-D |
| Avg goals scored | 1.00 | 2.60 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Home/Away form | W-D (home) | L-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.50 scored / 1.00 conceded | 2.00 scored / 1.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 2.75 for / 5.00 against | 6.75 for / 4.00 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 4.00 for / 2.00 against (home) | 6.00 for / 3.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
Although the odds are relatively high, Vitesse shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Vitesse's attacking profile.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.60First seen
Current3.41Now
Max odds3.60Highest point
Min odds2.96Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
Model insight
Cambuur Leeuwarden – Vitesse Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.58. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 2.94% across 186 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample34
Win Rate20.6%
Profit-9.64u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | America MG - Vila Nova | 3.33 | 3.84% |
| LOSS | Los Angeles FC - Seattle Sounders | 3.65 | 4.77% |
| LOSS | Slavia Prague - Viktoria Plzen | 3.49 | 4.77% |
| LOSS | Grasshoppers - Aarau | 3.58 | 3.84% |
| WIN | Sport Recife - CRB | 3.38 | 3.04% |
| LOSS | FC Inter II - KUPS Akatemia | 3.70 | 2.94% |
| LOSS | Iwaki FC - Matsumoto Y FC | 3.40 | 2.94% |
| LOSS | Cobh Ramblers - Athlone Town | 3.59 | 3.04% |
Pick
2 @ 3.58
Kickoff
Apr 24, 2026 10:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.94% • n=186
Start
Started 32d 6h ago
Updated
Updated 32d 9h ago