Model: TIPPSA

Carlos Manucci vs Deportivo Llacuabamba

PREDICTION

@ 3.71

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffLug 19, 2026 5:00 AM

ResultLOSS1 - 0

StartStarted 44d 2h ago

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.84% · n=89

V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.84% · n=89

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 44d 4h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Deportivo Llacuabamba. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Deportivo LlacuabambaGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

54/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds3.70First seen

Current4.00Now

Max odds4.07Highest point

Min odds3.40Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Carlos ManucciHOME

Deportivo LlacuabambaAWAY

WDWWL

Recent form

LDDLW

Avg goals scored

1.60

1.40

Defensive weakness

1.00

1.40

Shots on target for

4.00

7.40

SoT conceded pressure

5.20

5.00

Home splitW-W-L-W-D1.00 scored / 0.40 conceded

Away splitL-D-L-D-W1.00 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.71. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.84% based on n=89 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Peru Liga 2 (pe). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2

Odd3.71

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.84% · n=89

V4 BandMEDIUMROI 3.84% · n=89

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Deportivo Llacuabamba is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 15.2% 7D: 8.8% 15D: 6.2% 30D: 18.4%

Model insight

Carlos Manucci – Deportivo Llacuabamba Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.71. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 3.84% and 3.84%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample48

Win Rate16.7%

Profit-18.96u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	CA Atlanta - San Martin SJ	3.47	4.77%
LOSS	Chelsea - Brighton	3.93	3.92%
LOSS	Avellino - Vicenza	3.51	3.84%
WIN	Cliftonville - Dungannon Swifts	3.70	4.77%
WIN	Gazalkent - Fardu Ferghana	3.53	4.77%
LOSS	Inter Club d'Escaldes - KF Drita	3.59	3.84%
WIN	Alacranes de Durango - Universidad Guadalajara	3.93	3.92%
LOSS	Falkenbergs FF - Norrby IF	3.85	3.92%

Pick

2 @ 3.71

Kickoff

Lug 19, 2026 5:00 AM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 3.84% • n=89

Confidence V4

CONF V4: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V4

3.84% • n=89

Start

Started 44d 2h ago

Updated

Updated 44d 4h ago