Model: TipA1
Carlos Manucci – Union Comercio
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.90
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 10, 2026 12:15 AM
ResultLOSS0 - 0
StartStarted 17d 1h ago
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.83% · n=574
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 17d 14h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Carlos Manucci | Union Comercio |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | D-L-W-D-W | D-L-W-W |
| Avg goals scored | 1.00 | 0.75 |
| Avg goals conceded | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| Home/Away form | D-W-W (home) | D-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.67 scored / 0.33 conceded | 0.50 scored / 0.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 2.75 for / 3.50 against | 1.25 for / 3.50 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 4.00 for / 2.50 against (home) | 2.00 for / 5.50 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. The HIGH confidence band is important here: similar higher-priced setups have historically produced positive model results.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.89First seen
Current2.91Now
Max odds2.92Highest point
Min odds2.89Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Carlos Manucci – Union Comercio Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.90. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is HIGH, with a historical expected ROI of 6.83% across 574 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample72
Win Rate36.1%
Profit+2.56u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | HFX Wanderers - Inter Toronto | 2.80 | 5.52% |
| WIN | Dukla Praha (W) - FK Teplice (W) | 2.90 | 5.52% |
| LOSS | CD Marathon - Motagua | 2.80 | 5.52% |
| WIN | SV Donau - SC Wiener Viktoria | 2.75 | 5.52% |
| WIN | Gladesville Ravens (W) - Sydney Olympic FC (W) | 2.70 | 7.37% |
| LOSS | Antequera - Juventud Torremolinos CF | 3.00 | 5.52% |
| LOSS | EIF Academy - ESPA | 2.90 | 5.52% |
| WIN | St George City FA - Manly Utd | 2.90 | 5.52% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Catania - Ascoli | 2 | 2.88 | 5.52% | 27 May 21:00 |
Pick
2 @ 2.90
Kickoff
Mag 10, 2026 12:15 AM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 6.83% • n=574
Start
Started 17d 1h ago
Updated
Updated 17d 14h ago