Cesena (W) – Fiorentina (W)

Model: TipTromba9H

Cesena (W) vs Fiorentina (W)

PREDICTION
1
@ 8.00
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 05, 2026 8:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 1d 1h
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.02% · n=77
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 15m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Cesena (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Cesena (W)Goal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Balanced

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

51/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds8.00First seen
Current8.00Now
Max odds8.00Highest point
Min odds8.00Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendStableShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Cesena (W)HOME
VS
Fiorentina (W)AWAY
WWLDL
Recent form
WWWDL
Avg goals scored
2.40
1.80
Defensive weakness
2.00
1.40
Shots on target for
5.00
6.80
SoT conceded pressure
2.00
4.20
Home splitW-L3.00 scored / 2.50 conceded
Away splitW-D2.50 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 8.00. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.02% based on n=77 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Women’s Friendly. Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1
Odd8.00
V2 BandLOWROI 1.02% · n=77
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendStable
VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The elevated odds reflect a naturally higher-risk profile, especially because recent form does not clearly favor Cesena (W). This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 49.1% 7D: 24.7% 15D: 7.4% 30D: 12.5%
Model insight

Cesena (W) – Fiorentina (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 8.00. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba9H model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.02% across 77 similar predictions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample42
Win Rate16.7%
Profit+14.00u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSVarzim - Guimaraes8.001.07%
LOSSSydney Olympic - Brisbane Roar8.001.07%
LOSSFC Zurich (W) - AC Milan (W)8.001.07%
LOSSAuckland FC - Tottenham8.001.07%
LOSSDSG Ferlach - TSV Grafenstein8.001.02%
LOSSNamyangju FC - Gimpo FC8.001.07%
LOSSApotheos - Dothan United8.001.02%
LOSSDundela - Glentoran8.001.07%
Pick
1 @ 8.00
Kickoff
Ago 05, 2026 8:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.02% • n=77
Start
Starts in 1d 1h
Updated
Updated 15m ago
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