Changwon City vs Jeonbuk Motors II
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Changwon City. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Changwon CityGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: -0.097Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.65. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -3.38% based on n=1115 historical similar picks. The match belongs to South Korea K3 League (kr). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
Market expectations and recent results both point toward Changwon City as the more reliable side. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Changwon City's attacking profile.
Changwon City – Jeonbuk Motors II Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Elfsborg (W) - Umea IK (W) | 1.67 | -3.82% |
| LOSS | Macarthur Rams U20 - Hurstville FC U20 | 1.57 | -3.38% |
| LOSS | Adelaide University Reserves (W) - Modbury Vista Reserves (W) | 1.53 | -3.38% |
| WIN | Bentleigh Greens (W) - Melbourne City NPL (W) | 1.70 | -3.38% |
| WIN | Flint City Bucks - Peoria City | 1.70 | -1.89% |
| WIN | FC LeKi - Saaksjærven Loiske | 1.50 | -3.38% |
| LOSS | Metallurg Bekabad - Gazalkent | 1.73 | -1.89% |
| WIN | Brasil de Pelotas - Gramadense | 1.73 | -1.89% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LDU Quito (W) - Barcelona Guayaquil (W) | 1 | 1.62 | -1.89% | 25 Jul 18:00 |
| CD FAS Reserves - Municipal Limeno Reserves | 1 | 1.73 | -3.38% | 25 Jul 19:00 |
| Noroeste - Uniao Sao Joao | 1 | 1.55 | -3.38% | 25 Jul 20:00 |
| Portuguesa Desportos - Uberlandia | 1 | 1.53 | -1.89% | 25 Jul 21:00 |
| Chattanooga FC - Philadelphia Union II | 1 | 1.67 | -3.82% | 26 Jul 01:00 |
| Cartagines - Inter San Carlos | 1 | 1.62 | -3.82% | 26 Jul 01:00 |
| Guangxi Hengchen - Dingnan Ganlian FC | 1 | 1.60 | -1.89% | 26 Jul 13:30 |
| CSA - Sao Luiz | 1 | 1.53 | -3.38% | 26 Jul 21:00 |