Model: TIPPSH
Portland Timbers II vs Real Monarchs SLC
PREDICTION
1
@ 1.76
StatusUpcoming
KickoffLug 27, 2026 12:00 AM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 1d 5h
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537
V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 12m ago
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Portland Timbers II. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Portland Timbers IIGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.002 | A: -0.007Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
26/100
Odds Movement
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.82First seen
Current1.76Now
Max odds1.82Highest point
Min odds1.76Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Portland Timbers IIHOME
VS
Real Monarchs SLCAWAY
WDWLW
Recent form
LWDLL
Avg goals scored
1.60
1.40
Defensive weakness
0.80
2.20
Shots on target for
5.00
4.60
SoT conceded pressure
3.60
5.80
Home splitL-W-L-W-D1.60 scored / 2.00 conceded
Away splitD-L-L-L-W1.20 scored / 2.00 conceded
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.76. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to USA MLS Next Pro League (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.
Pick1
Odd1.76
V2 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537
V4 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityMedium
AI Match Insight
The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction.
Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 18.6%
7D: 30.1%
15D: 20.1%
30D: 25.3%
Model insight
Portland Timbers II – Real Monarchs SLC Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.76. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.31% and 1.31%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample261
Win Rate46.0%
Profit-36.02u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | NEC - Elversberg | 2.00 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | Peimari United - SalPa 2 | 1.78 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | Inter Lions - Prospect United | 2.00 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | Oxford City - Walton & Hersham | 1.95 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Internacional (W) - Fluminense RJ (W) | 1.99 | 1.04% |
| WIN | SD Atletico Nacional - San Francisco Reserves | 1.99 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Sacachispas U20 - El Porvenir U20 | 2.00 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Adelaide Croatia Raiders - Fulham United FC | 1.94 | 1.04% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| Birmingham Legion FC - New Mexico United | 1 | 1.97 | 1.04% | 25 Jul 02:00 |
| FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova - MFK Zemplin Michalovce | 1 | 1.79 | 1.04% | 25 Jul 20:30 |
| Volta Redonda - Anapolis FC | 1 | 1.76 | 1.04% | 26 Jul 00:00 |
| Millonarios - Atletico Bucaramanga | 1 | 1.88 | 1.31% | 26 Jul 01:10 |
| Gimpo FC - Yongin FC | 1 | 1.88 | 1.04% | 26 Jul 12:30 |
| FC Seoul - Ulsan HD | 1 | 1.94 | 1.04% | 26 Jul 12:30 |
| Yunnan Yukun - Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 1 | 1.84 | 1.04% | 26 Jul 13:00 |
Pick
1 @ 1.76
Kickoff
Lug 27, 2026 12:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.31% • n=2537
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
1.31% • n=2537
Start
Starts in 1d 5h
Updated
Updated 12m ago