Cheltenham Town (W) vs Worcester City (W)
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Worcester City (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Worcester City (W)Goal/Shots Index — H: -0.116 | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 6.00. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.14% based on n=15 historical similar picks. The match belongs to England FA National League Cup Women (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
The current odds underline the speculative nature of the pick, particularly given the recent form imbalance. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive.
Cheltenham Town (W) – Worcester City (W) Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Bolivar (W) - Astor FC (W) | 5.75 | 4.14% |
| LOSS | Stoke (W) - Boldmere St Michaels (W) | 5.75 | 4.97% |
| LOSS | Vojvodina - FK Radnik Surdulica | 6.00 | 4.14% |
| LOSS | Gubbio - ASD Sporting Trestina | 5.75 | 4.14% |
| WIN | AC Horsens - Vendsyssel FF | 5.75 | 4.97% |
| LOSS | FC Lausanne-Sport - Breitenrain | 6.00 | 4.97% |
| WIN | Gremio - Chapecoense | 6.00 | 4.97% |
| LOSS | IA Rio Negro de San Jose - Wanderers Durazno | 5.75 | 4.97% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Sanluqueno - UD Tamaraceite | 2 | 6.00 | 4.14% | 13 Sep 11:00 |