Chester vs Stoke U21
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Chester. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: ChesterGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.089 | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.86. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=746 historical similar picks. The match belongs to UK Friendlies (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The price and recent metrics both point to a relatively open contest. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction.
Chester – Stoke U21 Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Velez Sarsfield Reserves - CA Talleres de Córdoba Reserves | 1.85 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Flint City Bucks - Steel City | 1.81 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Arsenal Tula - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 1.79 | 1.04% |
| WIN | South East United FC - Launceston United | 1.95 | 1.04% |
| WIN | St Pauli - HNK Gorica | 2.01 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Shaanxi Zhidan (W) - Zhejiang Hangzhou (W) | 2.00 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Flamengo SP U23 - Matonense U23 | 1.75 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Kaisar Kyzylorda - FK Kaspyi Aktau | 1.96 | 1.31% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| Macara - Deportivo Cuenca | 1 | 2.01 | 1.04% | 22 Jul 21:00 |
| RB Keflavik - KB Breidholt | 1 | 1.96 | 1.04% | 22 Jul 22:00 |
| SV River Plate - SV Atlantico Deportivo | 1 | 2.00 | 1.04% | 23 Jul 02:30 |
| Birmingham Legion FC - New Mexico United | 1 | 1.97 | 1.04% | 25 Jul 02:00 |
| KuPS Kuopio - VPS Vaasa | 1 | 1.83 | 1.04% | 25 Jul 16:00 |
| FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova - MFK Zemplin Michalovce | 1 | 1.79 | 1.04% | 25 Jul 20:30 |
| Millonarios - Atletico Bucaramanga | 1 | 1.88 | 1.31% | 26 Jul 01:10 |