Model: TipA1

Santos (W) vs Flamengo (W)

PREDICTION

@ 2.55

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 16, 2026 6:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 1d 2h

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.27% · n=1151

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 2d 5h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Flamengo (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Flamengo (W)Goal/Shots Index — H: 0.020 | A: -0.100

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

46/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.55First seen

Current2.55Now

Max odds2.55Highest point

Min odds2.55Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendStableShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Santos (W)HOME

Flamengo (W)AWAY

LLWDW

Recent form

DLDWL

Avg goals scored

1.40

1.00

Defensive weakness

1.20

1.40

Shots on target for

4.20

6.80

SoT conceded pressure

4.00

3.80

Home splitW-W-L-D-L1.00 scored / 0.80 conceded

Away splitD-W-W-L1.25 scored / 0.75 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.55. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.27% based on n=1151 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Serie A1 Women (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.55

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.27% · n=1151

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The selection carries significant risk according to both market expectations and recent form indicators. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. Flamengo (W) has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: 0.0% 7D: 7.5% 15D: 11.9% 30D: 11.0%

Model insight

Santos (W) – Flamengo (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.55. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.27% across 1151 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample212

Win Rate38.7%

Profit-8.04u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Shan Utd U20 - Dagon Star United U20	2.70	4.27%
WIN	Gazalkent - Olympic Mobiuz	2.38	4.27%
LOSS	FC Vado - Inter Milan U23	2.35	4.27%
LOSS	AZ Picerno ASD - Barletta	2.70	4.27%
LOSS	FC Roskilde - Middelfart	2.30	4.27%
LOSS	Perth SC - Perth RedStar FC	2.63	4.27%
LOSS	IF Vestri - IR Reykjavik	2.60	4.27%
LOSS	Universidad de Concepcion (W) - Huachipato (W)	2.35	4.27%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Limavady United - Carrick Rangers	2	2.38	4.27%	15 Aug 16:00
Sertaozinho FC U20 - Mirassol U20	2	2.55	4.27%	15 Aug 20:00
FK Zemun - Mladost Lucani	2	2.63	4.27%	16 Aug 21:00
AD Confianca - Maringa FC	2	2.45	4.27%	16 Aug 23:30

Pick

2 @ 2.55

Kickoff

Ago 16, 2026 6:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 4.27% • n=1151

Start

Starts in 1d 2h

Updated

Updated 2d 5h ago