Shan Utd U20 – Dagon Star United U20

Model: TipA1

Shan Utd U20 vs Dagon Star United U20

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.70
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 15, 2026 1:00 PM
ResultWIN0 - 1
StartStarted 9h 17m ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.27% · n=1151
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 19h 31m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Dagon Star United U20. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Dagon Star United U20Goal/Shots Index — H: -0.037 | A: -0.023

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

47/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.75First seen
Current2.80Now
Max odds2.80Highest point
Min odds2.75Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Shan Utd U20HOME
VS
Dagon Star United U20AWAY
LWLDL
Recent form
WWLWW
Avg goals scored
0.60
2.60
Defensive weakness
1.00
1.20
Shots on target for
3.40
7.80
SoT conceded pressure
3.60
3.80
Home splitL-W-W-W-D0.60 scored / 0.20 conceded
Away splitW-L-W-W-L2.80 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.70. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.27% based on n=1151 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Myanmar U20 League (mm). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.70
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.27% · n=1151
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

Although the odds are relatively high, Dagon Star United U20 shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Dagon Star United U20's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -31.7% 7D: -16.8% 15D: 7.2% 30D: 6.1%
Model insight

Shan Utd U20 – Dagon Star United U20 Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.70. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.27% across 1151 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample141
Win Rate39.0%
Profit-0.07u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSAZ Picerno ASD - Barletta2.704.27%
LOSSPerth SC - Perth RedStar FC2.634.27%
LOSSIF Vestri - IR Reykjavik2.604.27%
LOSSCobaneras FC (W) - Deportivo Guatemala (W)2.704.27%
LOSSMarseille - Athletic Bilbao2.704.27%
WINReilac Shiga - FC Gifu2.604.27%
LOSSChapecoense U20 - Criciuma U202.634.27%
LOSSBrest - Venezia2.504.27%
Active Similar Predictions
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FK Zemun - Mladost Lucani22.634.27%16 Aug 21:00
AD Confianca - Maringa FC22.454.27%16 Aug 23:30
Pick
2 @ 2.70
Kickoff
Ago 15, 2026 1:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.27% • n=1151
Start
Started 9h 17m ago
Updated
Updated 19h 31m ago
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