Shan Utd U20 vs Dagon Star United U20
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Dagon Star United U20. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Dagon Star United U20Goal/Shots Index — H: -0.037 | A: -0.023Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.70. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.27% based on n=1151 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Myanmar U20 League (mm). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
Although the odds are relatively high, Dagon Star United U20 shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Dagon Star United U20's attacking profile.
Shan Utd U20 – Dagon Star United U20 Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | AZ Picerno ASD - Barletta | 2.70 | 4.27% |
| LOSS | Perth SC - Perth RedStar FC | 2.63 | 4.27% |
| LOSS | IF Vestri - IR Reykjavik | 2.60 | 4.27% |
| LOSS | Cobaneras FC (W) - Deportivo Guatemala (W) | 2.70 | 4.27% |
| LOSS | Marseille - Athletic Bilbao | 2.70 | 4.27% |
| WIN | Reilac Shiga - FC Gifu | 2.60 | 4.27% |
| LOSS | Chapecoense U20 - Criciuma U20 | 2.63 | 4.27% |
| LOSS | Brest - Venezia | 2.50 | 4.27% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sertaozinho FC U20 - Mirassol U20 | 2 | 2.55 | 4.27% | 15 Aug 20:00 |
| Santos (W) - Flamengo (W) | 2 | 2.55 | 4.27% | 16 Aug 16:00 |
| FK Zemun - Mladost Lucani | 2 | 2.63 | 4.27% | 16 Aug 21:00 |
| AD Confianca - Maringa FC | 2 | 2.45 | 4.27% | 16 Aug 23:30 |