Club Aurora – Bolivar

Model: TIPPSH

Club Aurora vs Bolivar

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.70
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 09, 2026 3:30 AM
ResultLOSS2 - 4
StartStarted 1d 1h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.49% · n=1025
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.49% · n=1025
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 3h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Club Aurora. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Club AuroraGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.031 | A: 0.050

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Balanced

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

41/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.10First seen
Current2.90Now
Max odds3.10Highest point
Min odds2.90Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Club AuroraHOME
VS
BolivarAWAY
LDDWD
Recent form
WWLWW
Avg goals scored
1.80
1.80
Defensive weakness
2.00
1.00
Shots on target for
5.20
5.40
SoT conceded pressure
5.00
6.00
Home splitL-W-D-D-W2.40 scored / 2.20 conceded
Away splitW-L-W-D-L1.40 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.70. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.49% based on n=1025 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Bolivia Primera Division (bo). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.70
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.49% · n=1025
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 2.49% · n=1025
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The elevated odds reflect a naturally higher-risk profile, especially because recent form does not clearly favor Club Aurora. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 6.1% 7D: 10.4% 15D: 6.3% 30D: 10.0%
Model insight

Club Aurora – Bolivar Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.70. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.49% and 2.49%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample74
Win Rate43.2%
Profit+10.53u
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WINHapoel Jerusalem - Hapoel Petah Tikva2.453.15%
WINVanraure Hachinohe - Kataller Toyama2.934.53%
LOSSOtrant-Olympic Ulcinj - OFK Petrovac2.804.53%
WINFC Rustavi - Torpedo Kutaisi2.904.53%
WINMaranhao - Brusque2.742.49%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Silkeborg IF - Odense BK12.673.15%10 Aug 19:00
Pick
1 @ 2.70
Kickoff
Ago 09, 2026 3:30 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.49% • n=1025
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
2.49% • n=1025
Start
Started 1d 1h ago
Updated
Updated 1d 3h ago
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