Club Brugge vs Aston Villa
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Club Brugge. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Club BruggeGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.056 | A: -0.115Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.74. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.49% based on n=1025 historical similar picks. The match belongs to UEFA Champions League (eu). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.
AI Match Insight
While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. Club Brugge has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Club Brugge – Aston Villa Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Getafe - Celta Vigo | 2.49 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Standard Liege II - RFC Meux | 2.61 | 2.49% |
| WIN | Ibri Club - Samail | 2.83 | 4.53% |
| LOSS | Coventry U21 - West Brom U21 | 2.69 | 2.49% |
| WIN | Santiago Tulantepec - Club Hidalguense | 2.67 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Monagas - Metropolitanos FC | 2.81 | 4.53% |
| LOSS | Al Hidd - Al-Ahli Manama | 2.56 | 3.15% |
| WIN | Reign FC (W) - San Diego Wave (W) | 2.92 | 4.53% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maritimo U23 - Gil Vicente U23 | 1 | 2.86 | 4.53% | 08 Sep 16:00 |
| HJK Helsinki - FC Inter | 1 | 2.62 | 3.15% | 09 Sep 17:00 |