Club Brugge – Aston Villa

Model: TIPPSH

Club Brugge vs Aston Villa

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.74
StatusUpcoming
KickoffSet 08, 2026 8:45 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 18h 38m
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.49% · n=1025
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.49% · n=1025
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 8m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Club Brugge. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Club BruggeGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.056 | A: -0.115

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

41/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.82First seen
Current2.74Now
Max odds2.82Highest point
Min odds2.62Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Club BruggeHOME
VS
Aston VillaAWAY
WLWWW
Recent form
DLLLL
Avg goals scored
1.80
0.40
Defensive weakness
0.40
1.80
Shots on target for
5.00
1.60
SoT conceded pressure
2.80
3.80
Home splitW-W-D-L-W2.20 scored / 1.20 conceded
Away splitD-L-L-L-L0.60 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.74. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.49% based on n=1025 historical similar picks. The match belongs to UEFA Champions League (eu). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.74
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.49% · n=1025
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 2.49% · n=1025
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. Club Brugge has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 1.8% 7D: 11.8% 15D: 9.9% 30D: 6.1%
Model insight

Club Brugge – Aston Villa Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.74. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.49% and 2.49%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample134
Win Rate42.5%
Profit+19.96u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSGetafe - Celta Vigo2.492.49%
LOSSStandard Liege II - RFC Meux2.612.49%
WINIbri Club - Samail2.834.53%
LOSSCoventry U21 - West Brom U212.692.49%
WINSantiago Tulantepec - Club Hidalguense2.672.49%
LOSSMonagas - Metropolitanos FC2.814.53%
LOSSAl Hidd - Al-Ahli Manama2.563.15%
WINReign FC (W) - San Diego Wave (W)2.924.53%
Active Similar Predictions
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Pick
1 @ 2.74
Kickoff
Set 08, 2026 8:45 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.49% • n=1025
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
2.49% • n=1025
Start
Starts in 18h 38m
Updated
Updated 8m ago
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