Rosario Central – Newell’s

Model: TIPPSH

Rosario Central vs Newell's

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.63
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffSet 06, 2026 9:45 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 1d 14h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -7.35% · n=1010
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -7.35% · n=1010
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 16h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Rosario Central. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Rosario CentralGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.051 | A: 0.098

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

2/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.68First seen
Current1.63Now
Max odds1.71Highest point
Min odds1.56Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Rosario CentralHOME
VS
Newell'sAWAY
DLDLW
Recent form
DDWWW
Avg goals scored
1.00
1.20
Defensive weakness
1.20
0.40
Shots on target for
4.80
4.20
SoT conceded pressure
3.20
4.80
Home splitD-L-D-W-D0.80 scored / 0.80 conceded
Away splitD-D-W-L-L0.60 scored / 0.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.63. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -7.35% based on n=1010 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Argentina Liga Profesional (ar). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.63
V2 BandNONEROI -7.35% · n=1010
V4 BandNONEROI -7.35% · n=1010
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The odds suggest a clear favorite, although the recent form gap is not as dominant as the price might imply. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 3.5% 7D: 12.9% 15D: 9.6% 30D: 6.1%
Model insight

Rosario Central – Newell’s Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.63. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -7.35% and -7.35%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample562
Win Rate61.0%
Profit+12.89u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINEmelec - Manta FC1.62-9.21%
WINAtletico Nacional Medellin - Deportivo Cali1.63-4.66%
LOSSKFUM 2 - Lokomotiv Oslo1.70-7.35%
WINAjman SCC U23 - Al Nasr SC U231.65-6.04%
LOSSCD Antofagasta - Deportes Recoleta1.65-4.66%
WINJagiellonia Bialystok - Slask Wroclaw1.68-7.35%
WINMTK Budapest II - Dunaharaszti MTK1.63-9.21%
LOSSMeteor Prague VIII - FK Usti nad Labem B1.70-9.21%
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Pick
1 @ 1.63
Kickoff
Set 06, 2026 9:45 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -7.35% • n=1010
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-7.35% • n=1010
Start
Started 1d 14h ago
Updated
Updated 1d 16h ago
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