Model: TIPPSH

Standard Liege II vs RFC Meux

PREDICTION

@ 2.61

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffSet 06, 2026 5:00 PM

ResultLOSS0 - 1

StartStarted 7h 31m ago

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.49% · n=1025

V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.49% · n=1025

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 1d 6h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Standard Liege II. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Standard Liege IIGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.047 | A: -0.027

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

40/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.83First seen

Current2.61Now

Max odds2.83Highest point

Min odds2.61Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Standard Liege IIHOME

RFC MeuxAWAY

LLLDW

Recent form

WWDDL

Avg goals scored

0.60

1.20

Defensive weakness

0.80

1.40

Shots on target for

5.00

3.20

SoT conceded pressure

1.80

3.80

Home splitL-L-D-W-W1.40 scored / 0.80 conceded

Away splitW-D-D-L-L0.80 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.61. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.49% based on n=1025 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Belgium First Amateur Division (be). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.61

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.49% · n=1025

V4 BandMEDIUMROI 2.49% · n=1025

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Standard Liege II's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: 1.2% 7D: 5.6% 15D: 10.4% 30D: 6.3%

Model insight

Standard Liege II – RFC Meux Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.61. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.49% and 2.49%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample161

Win Rate41.0%

Profit+8.67u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Ibri Club - Samail	2.83	4.53%
LOSS	Coventry U21 - West Brom U21	2.69	2.49%
WIN	Santiago Tulantepec - Club Hidalguense	2.67	2.49%
LOSS	Monagas - Metropolitanos FC	2.81	4.53%
LOSS	Al Hidd - Al-Ahli Manama	2.56	3.15%
LOSS	Marumo Gallants - Polokwane City	2.66	3.15%
WIN	Gubbio - Vis Pesaro	2.60	2.49%
LOSS	Ferroviario Maputo - UD Songo	2.80	4.53%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Getafe - Celta Vigo	1	2.49	2.49%	07 Sep 19:00
Club Brugge - Aston Villa	1	2.62	2.49%	08 Sep 18:45
HJK Helsinki - FC Inter	1	2.62	3.15%	09 Sep 17:00

Pick

1 @ 2.61

Kickoff

Set 06, 2026 5:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 2.49% • n=1025

Confidence V4

CONF V4: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V4

2.49% • n=1025

Start

Started 7h 31m ago

Updated

Updated 1d 6h ago