Bury vs Warrington Rylands
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Bury. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: BuryGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.008 | A: 0.030Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.71. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -7.35% based on n=1010 historical similar picks. The match belongs to England Northern Premier League (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The market is strongly leaning toward Bury, but the statistical edge looks less pronounced. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Bury has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Bury – Warrington Rylands Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Bradford - Peterborough | 1.65 | -7.35% |
| WIN | Salisbury Inter (W) - West Torrens Birkalla (W) | 1.63 | -9.89% |
| WIN | Zweigen Kanazawa - Fukushima Utd | 1.65 | -9.21% |
| WIN | Ruch Chorzow - Lechia Gdansk | 1.62 | -6.04% |
| WIN | KSZO Ostrowiec - Korona Kielce II | 1.64 | -7.35% |
| WIN | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki - Zabkovia Zabki | 1.70 | -9.21% |
| WIN | Shaanxi Union - Changchun Yatai | 1.66 | -7.35% |
| WIN | Sporting Gijon B - Cultural Leonesa B | 1.71 | -9.21% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Lightning - Capalaba FC | 1 | 1.63 | -7.35% | 05 Jun 12:30 |
| Guijuelo - CDA Palencia | 1 | 1.70 | -9.21% | 07 Jun 18:00 |
| Ilves (W) - IF Gnistan (W) | 1 | 1.67 | -7.35% | 15 Aug 14:00 |
| Chelsea - Real Sociedad | 1 | 1.63 | -9.21% | 15 Aug 15:00 |
| Macclesfield - Radcliffe FC | 1 | 1.63 | -9.21% | 15 Aug 16:00 |
| Brighton - Bologna | 1 | 1.70 | -9.21% | 15 Aug 16:00 |
| JK Trans Narva II - Johvi FC Phoenix | 1 | 1.67 | -9.89% | 15 Aug 18:00 |
| Sindri - FC Arbaer | 1 | 1.65 | -9.21% | 15 Aug 18:00 |