Karlbergs BK – FBK Karlstad

Model: TIPPSA

Karlbergs BK vs FBK Karlstad

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.52
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 31, 2026 6:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 41d 5h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.84% · n=717
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 41d 7h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is FBK Karlstad. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: FBK Karlstad

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

33/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.24First seen
Current2.55Now
Max odds3.40Highest point
Min odds2.55Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Karlbergs BKHOME
VS
FBK KarlstadAWAY
DLLDD
Recent form
DDDWW
Avg goals scored
0.80
1.80
Defensive weakness
1.40
0.60
Shots on target for
3.60
6.20
SoT conceded pressure
4.80
1.60
Home splitD-L-D-W-L1.20 scored / 1.80 conceded
Away splitD-W-W-L-W2.40 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.52. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 0.84% based on n=717 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Sweden 1.div Norra (se). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.52
V2 BandLOWROI 0.84% · n=717
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for FBK Karlstad. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. FBK Karlstad has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 26.6% 7D: 28.3% 15D: 26.4% 30D: 7.8%
Model insight

Karlbergs BK – FBK Karlstad Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.52. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.84% across 717 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample47
Win Rate46.8%
Profit+7.05u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINBentleigh Greens - Altona Magic2.290.84%
LOSSMontevideo Wanderers Reserves - Penarol Reserves2.590.84%
WINKhangarid Klub - Deren FC2.630.84%
WINTulsa - Colorado Switchbacks FC2.670.84%
LOSSGalway United - Derry City2.350.84%
WINLyn 1896 - Bryne2.530.84%
LOSSDerry City - Bohemians Dublin2.450.84%
WINZED FC - Wadi Degla2.540.84%
Pick
2 @ 2.52
Kickoff
Mag 31, 2026 6:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 0.84% • n=717
Start
Started 41d 5h ago
Updated
Updated 41d 7h ago
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