Model: TIPPSH

Coventry vs Wrexham

PREDICTION

@ 2.26

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffApr 26, 2026 3:00 PM

ResultWIN3 - 1

StartStarted 76d 1h ago

V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.90% · n=238

V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.90% · n=238

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 76d 9h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Coventry. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Coventry

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

52/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.98First seen

Current2.26Now

Max odds2.26Highest point

Min odds1.98Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

CoventryHOME

WrexhamAWAY

WWDDD

Recent form

LWWLL

Avg goals scored

1.80

1.00

Defensive weakness

0.60

2.00

Shots on target for

3.60

2.00

SoT conceded pressure

2.40

5.40

Home splitW-W-D-W2.75 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitL-W-L-D1.00 scored / 1.75 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.26. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 6.90% based on n=238 historical similar picks. The match belongs to England Championship (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.26

V2 BandHIGHROI 6.90% · n=238

V4 BandHIGHROI 6.90% · n=238

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. The model places this selection in a historically favorable confidence range. Coventry has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: 20.7% 7D: 5.9% 15D: 26.4% 30D: 20.1%

Model insight

Coventry – Wrexham Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.26. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 6.90% and 6.90%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample19

Win Rate36.8%

Profit-3.31u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Belgium - Senegal	2.12	6.72%
LOSS	CRB - Fortaleza	2.17	6.72%
LOSS	KTP - FC Haka	2.12	6.72%
WIN	Henan U20 - Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic U20	2.04	6.72%
LOSS	KA Akureyri - Valur Reykjavik	2.30	6.90%
LOSS	FBK Karlstad - Umeå FC	2.30	6.90%
LOSS	FC Copenhagen - Midtjylland	2.51	6.90%
LOSS	FK Blansko - SK Unicov	2.45	6.90%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
LKS Lodz II - OKS Swit Skolwin	1	2.35	6.90%	08 May 17:00

Pick

1 @ 2.26

Kickoff

Apr 26, 2026 3:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: HIGH

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 6.90% • n=238

Confidence V4

CONF V4: HIGH

Exp. ROI V4

6.90% • n=238

Start

Started 76d 1h ago

Updated

Updated 76d 9h ago