Model: TIPPSH

KTP vs FC Haka

PREDICTION

@ 2.28

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffGiu 08, 2026 7:30 PM

ResultLOSS0 - 2

StartStarted 42d 20h ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.41% · n=109

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.41% · n=109

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 42d 22h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is KTP. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: KTPGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

33/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.06First seen

Current2.24Now

Max odds2.24Highest point

Min odds1.95Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

KTPHOME

FC HakaAWAY

LWWWW

Recent form

WLWLW

Avg goals scored

1.00

1.20

Defensive weakness

0.60

1.40

Shots on target for

6.40

3.60

SoT conceded pressure

2.40

5.00

Home splitL-W-W-L-W1.00 scored / 1.20 conceded

Away splitW-L-W-W-L1.40 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.28. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.41% based on n=109 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Finland Ykkosliiga (fi). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.28

V2 BandLOWROI 1.41% · n=109

V4 BandLOWROI 1.41% · n=109

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to KTP's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -0.6% 7D: -6.5% 15D: 15.4% 30D: 14.6%

Model insight

KTP – FC Haka Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.28. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.41% and 1.41%. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample239

Win Rate47.7%

Profit+12.44u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Penarol Reserves - Racing Club de Montevideo Reserves	2.13	1.04%
LOSS	Al Ansar Beirut - Al Nejmeh	2.17	1.04%
WIN	Keflavik - IA Akranes	2.36	1.59%
WIN	Buzios - Barra Mansa	2.35	1.59%
WIN	Sao Joao del Rei U20 - Inter De Minas U20	2.24	1.04%
LOSS	Changchun Dazhong (W) - Sichuan Jiannanchun Women	2.13	1.04%
WIN	Marconi Stallions U20 - Sydney United 58 U20	2.23	1.31%
WIN	Boroondara Eagles (W) - Melbourne Victory NPL (W)	2.45	1.59%

Active Similar Predictions

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Vikingur Reykjavik - Hapoel Beer Sheva	1	2.43	1.59%	21 Jul 21:00
Hajduk Split - Pafos FC	1	2.26	1.59%	23 Jul 21:00
Athletic Club MG - Sao Bernardo SP	1	2.14	1.04%	24 Jul 00:30
AaB - Hillerød	1	2.25	1.59%	24 Jul 19:00
Vasco da Gama - Mirassol	1	2.11	1.04%	26 Jul 01:30

Pick

1 @ 2.28

Kickoff

Giu 08, 2026 7:30 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.41% • n=109

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.41% • n=109

Start

Started 42d 20h ago

Updated

Updated 42d 22h ago