Cowdenbeath – Broxburn Athletic

Model: TIPPSH

Cowdenbeath vs Broxburn Athletic

PREDICTION
1
@ 3.05
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 08, 2026 6:00 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 2
StartStarted 6h 3m ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -2.37% · n=266
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -2.37% · n=266
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 8h 5m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Cowdenbeath. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: CowdenbeathGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.024 | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

27/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.70First seen
Current3.05Now
Max odds3.05Highest point
Min odds2.70Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

CowdenbeathHOME
VS
Broxburn AthleticAWAY
LLWD
Recent form
WLLD
Avg goals scored
1.25
1.25
Defensive weakness
1.25
1.75
Shots on target for
4.00
3.75
SoT conceded pressure
4.25
3.75
Home splitL-W1.50 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitW-L1.00 scored / 1.50 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.05. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -2.37% based on n=266 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Scotland Lowland League (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd3.05
V2 BandNONEROI -2.37% · n=266
V4 BandNONEROI -2.37% · n=266
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The market prices Cowdenbeath as an outsider, but recent form does not suggest a gap wide enough to completely dismiss the selection. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 16.6% 7D: 16.6% 15D: 9.4% 30D: 11.3%
Model insight

Cowdenbeath – Broxburn Athletic Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.05. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -2.37% and -2.37%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample35
Win Rate34.3%
Profit+1.05u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSTrefelin BGC - Llandudno2.85-2.37%
LOSSPlymouth - Bristol City2.80-2.37%
LOSSCharleroi - Rayo Vallecano3.26-1.88%
LOSSLeones FC - Barcelona Guayaquil2.89-2.37%
WINFram Reykjavik (W) - Valur Reykjavik (W)2.96-2.37%
LOSSBelshina Bobruisk - FC Minsk2.96-2.37%
WINIroni Tiberias - Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin2.82-2.37%
WINAguilas Doradas - Independiente Santa Fe2.80-2.37%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
FC Kosice - Dunajska Streda12.80-2.37%09 Aug 19:00
Pick
1 @ 3.05
Kickoff
Ago 08, 2026 6:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -2.37% • n=266
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-2.37% • n=266
Start
Started 6h 3m ago
Updated
Updated 8h 5m ago
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