Model: TIPPSH
CRB vs Vila Nova
PREDICTION
1
@ 1.96
StatusUpcoming
KickoffLug 28, 2026 2:30 AM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 3d 20h
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 13m ago
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is CRB. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: CRBGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.120 | A: -0.041Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
28/100
Odds Movement
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.95First seen
Current1.96Now
Max odds1.96Highest point
Min odds1.93Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendRisingShort term
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
CRBHOME
VS
Vila NovaAWAY
WWDLW
Recent form
WLLWL
Avg goals scored
1.20
1.00
Defensive weakness
1.60
1.40
Shots on target for
5.00
2.60
SoT conceded pressure
4.80
4.60
Home splitW-D-D-L-W2.20 scored / 1.80 conceded
Away splitL-L-L-L-W0.40 scored / 1.20 conceded
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.96. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Serie B (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.
Pick1
Odd1.96
V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityLow
AI Match Insight
The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors CRB. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. CRB is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 1.4%
7D: 33.1%
15D: 25.0%
30D: 22.9%
Model insight
CRB – Vila Nova Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.96. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample390
Win Rate47.7%
Profit-25.08u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Fish United - ACE | 1.75 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Philadelphia Union - New York Red Bulls | 1.75 | 1.31% |
| WIN | RB Keflavik - KB Breidholt | 1.96 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | FK Sloga Doboj - Ajman SCC | 2.20 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Velez Sarsfield Reserves - CA Talleres de Córdoba Reserves | 1.85 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | RAAL La Louviere - Kifisias FC | 2.20 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Penarol Reserves - Racing Club de Montevideo Reserves | 2.13 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Al Ansar Beirut - Al Nejmeh | 2.17 | 1.04% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 30 May 18:30 |
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| Vysocina Jihlava - Viktoria Zizkov | 1 | 2.06 | 1.04% | 24 Jul 18:00 |
| Gimnasia Mendoza - Central Cordoba | 1 | 1.88 | 1.04% | 24 Jul 21:45 |
| New York Red Bulls II - Crown Legacy | 1 | 2.09 | 1.04% | 25 Jul 01:00 |
| Birmingham Legion FC - New Mexico United | 1 | 1.97 | 1.04% | 25 Jul 02:00 |
| Liaoning Ironman - Qingdao West Coast | 1 | 2.16 | 1.04% | 25 Jul 13:35 |
| FK Volga Ulyanovsk - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 1 | 2.09 | 1.31% | 25 Jul 15:00 |
Pick
1 @ 1.96
Kickoff
Lug 28, 2026 2:30 AM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438
Start
Starts in 3d 20h
Updated
Updated 13m ago