Creck SC – Mitundu Baptist FC

Model: TipA1

Creck SC vs Mitundu Baptist FC

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.75
StatusUpcoming
KickoffLug 18, 2026 4:30 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 1d 3h
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.52% · n=654
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 12m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Mitundu Baptist FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Mitundu Baptist FC

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

52/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.75First seen
Current2.75Now
Max odds2.75Highest point
Min odds2.75Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendStableShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Creck SCHOME
VS
Mitundu Baptist FCAWAY
LLWWL
Recent form
DWWLW
Avg goals scored
1.20
1.80
Defensive weakness
1.40
1.20
Shots on target for
1.40
6.00
SoT conceded pressure
4.60
4.00
Home splitL-L-L-L0.50 scored / 2.00 conceded
Away splitL-L-L-L-D0.20 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.75. The V2 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 5.52% based on n=654 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Malawi Super League (mw). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.75
V2 BandHIGHROI 5.52% · n=654
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendStable
VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. The selection falls within a stronger historical confidence range, which makes the higher price more interesting. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Mitundu Baptist FC's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 49.1% 7D: -0.4% 15D: 4.3% 30D: 18.4%
Model insight

Creck SC – Mitundu Baptist FC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.75. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is HIGH, with a historical expected ROI of 5.52% across 654 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample104
Win Rate35.6%
Profit-0.33u
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ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
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LOSSBotafogo RJ U20 - Flamengo U202.905.52%
LOSSSilvio Pettirossi - Presidente Hayes2.805.52%
WINDandenong City - South Melbourne2.805.52%
LOSSRapid Vienna - Pardubice2.636.36%
LOSSBrasiliense U20 - Capital CF U202.755.52%
LOSSNexus Miyakonojo - Kawasoe Club2.606.67%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Uberlandia - Portuguesa Desportos22.606.36%18 Jul 22:00
Pick
2 @ 2.75
Kickoff
Lug 18, 2026 4:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 5.52% • n=654
Start
Starts in 1d 3h
Updated
Updated 12m ago
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