BFC Daugavpils vs SK Super Nova
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is BFC Daugavpils. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: BFC DaugavpilsGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.04. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Latvia Virsliga (lv). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives BFC Daugavpils a useful statistical edge. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. BFC Daugavpils has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
BFC Daugavpils – SK Super Nova Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | St Louis City II - Real Monarchs SLC | 1.83 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Real Frontera - Atletico El Vigia | 2.04 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Bollstanäs SK - IK Franke | 2.10 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Reipas - PPJ | 1.85 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Spartak Pleven - Marek Dupnitsa | 2.22 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Sunderland - Wrexham | 1.92 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Darmstadt - Portsmouth | 1.91 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Lens - Villarreal | 2.04 | 1.04% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 30 May 18:30 |
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| Birmingham Legion FC - New Mexico United | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 27 Jul 01:00 |
| Lillestrøm 2 - Kongsvinger 2 | 1 | 1.92 | 1.31% | 03 Aug 16:00 |
| Torque Reserves - Deportivo Maldonado Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.04% | 03 Aug 17:30 |
| Chrobry Glogow - Odra Opole | 1 | 2.25 | 1.59% | 03 Aug 19:00 |
| Racing Club (W) - Boca Juniors (W) | 1 | 2.16 | 1.31% | 03 Aug 20:00 |
| Dynamo Makhachkala - Krylia Sovetov | 1 | 2.08 | 1.04% | 04 Aug 17:30 |