Deportes Iquique (W) – Universidad Catolica (W)

Model: TipTromba35H

Deportes Iquique (W) vs Universidad Catolica (W)

PREDICTION
1
@ 3.40
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 17, 2026 7:00 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 1
StartStarted 61d 3h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.27% · n=283
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 61d 17h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Deportes Iquique (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Deportes Iquique (W)

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

53/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.04First seen
Current3.40Now
Max odds3.40Highest point
Min odds3.00Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Deportes Iquique (W)HOME
VS
Universidad Catolica (W)AWAY
LLWLW
Recent form
WWLWL
Avg goals scored
0.80
1.20
Defensive weakness
1.20
1.00
Shots on target for
2.40
2.00
SoT conceded pressure
2.60
4.67
Home splitL-W-W1.00 scored / 0.67 conceded
Away splitW-W-L1.67 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.40. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.27% based on n=283 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Chile Primera Division Women (cl). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd3.40
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.27% · n=283
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The elevated odds reflect a naturally higher-risk profile, especially because recent form does not clearly favor Deportes Iquique (W). There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 1.7% 7D: 13.4% 15D: 1.2% 30D: -0.5%
Model insight

Deportes Iquique (W) – Universidad Catolica (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.40. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba35H model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.27% across 283 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample112
Win Rate25.9%
Profit-15.72u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSWisloka Debica - Widzew Lodz II3.304.14%
LOSSDeportivo Paraguayo Reserves - Sportivo Barracas Reserves3.404.14%
LOSSMerthyr Town - Yeovil3.253.56%
LOSSDefensores de Cambaceres - Sacachispas3.203.85%
LOSSVejle - Randers FC3.253.56%
LOSSAS Trencin - FC Trinity Zlin3.203.85%
LOSSNykarleby IK - Sporting Kristina3.203.85%
LOSSSunshine Coast Wanderers (W) - Brisbane Olympic FC (W)3.404.14%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Fluminense PI U20 - CA Piauiense U2013.253.56%18 Jul 23:00
Pick
1 @ 3.40
Kickoff
Mag 17, 2026 7:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.27% • n=283
Start
Started 61d 3h ago
Updated
Updated 61d 17h ago
Torna in alto