Model: TIPPSA

Deportes Limache vs Everton de Vina

PREDICTION

@ 2.47

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 30, 2026 1:30 AM

ResultWIN0 - 3

StartStarted 1d 15h ago

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.13% · n=261

V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.13% · n=261

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 1d 17h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Everton de Vina. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Everton de VinaGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.028 | A: -0.015

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

44/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.91First seen

Current2.55Now

Max odds3.00Highest point

Min odds2.55Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Deportes LimacheHOME

Everton de VinaAWAY

LWLWL

Recent form

WWDWL

Avg goals scored

1.60

2.80

Defensive weakness

2.20

1.40

Shots on target for

5.00

7.60

SoT conceded pressure

7.20

3.60

Home splitL-L-W-D-L1.40 scored / 2.40 conceded

Away splitW-W-D-W-D2.20 scored / 0.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.47. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.13% based on n=261 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Chile Liga de Primera (cl). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.47

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.13% · n=261

V4 BandMEDIUMROI 4.13% · n=261

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for Everton de Vina. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Everton de Vina is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: -11.8% 7D: 8.8% 15D: 12.1% 30D: 8.8%

Model insight

Deportes Limache – Everton de Vina Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.47. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.13% and 4.13%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample208

Win Rate42.3%

Profit+8.69u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Deportivo Moquegua - Alianza Atletico	2.63	4.13%
LOSS	Hartberg - SV Ried	2.50	4.13%
LOSS	Samgurali - FC Rustavi	2.33	4.13%
WIN	Chattanooga Red Wolves - AC Boise	2.26	4.13%
LOSS	Padova - Verona	2.64	4.13%
LOSS	KVC Houtvenne - OH Leuven II	2.41	3.59%
LOSS	Grazer AK - Wolfsberger AC	2.72	3.43%
WIN	Leighton Town - Bury Town	2.41	3.59%

Active Similar Predictions

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Pick

2 @ 2.47

Kickoff

Ago 30, 2026 1:30 AM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 4.13% • n=261

Confidence V4

CONF V4: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V4

4.13% • n=261

Start

Started 1d 15h ago

Updated

Updated 1d 17h ago