Deportivo Moquegua vs Alianza Atletico
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Alianza Atletico. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Alianza AtleticoGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.079 | A: 0.035Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.59. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.13% based on n=261 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Peru Liga 1 (pe). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
Although the odds are relatively high, Alianza Atletico shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. Alianza Atletico has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Deportivo Moquegua – Alianza Atletico Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Hartberg - SV Ried | 2.50 | 4.13% |
| WIN | Deportes Limache - Everton de Vina | 2.63 | 4.13% |
| LOSS | Padova - Verona | 2.64 | 4.13% |
| LOSS | KVC Houtvenne - OH Leuven II | 2.41 | 3.59% |
| LOSS | Grazer AK - Wolfsberger AC | 2.72 | 3.43% |
| WIN | Leighton Town - Bury Town | 2.41 | 3.59% |
| LOSS | Dunfermline - Raith | 2.66 | 3.59% |
| LOSS | Maccabi Tel Aviv - Lugano | 2.75 | 3.61% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Retro FC Brasil - America RN | 2 | 2.70 | 3.31% | 30 Apr 02:30 |